An Agent-Based Model of Conflict in East Africa and the Effect of the Privatization of Land

نویسندگان

  • William G. Kennedy
  • Tim Gulden
  • Atesmachew B. Hailegiorgis
  • Jeffrey K. Bassett
  • Mark Coletti
  • Gabriel C. Balan
  • Meghan Clark
  • Claudio Cioffi-Revilla
چکیده

An agent-based model of conflict among herders and between herders and private farmers of east Africa is presented using the MASON agent-based simulation environment. Herders survive by keeping their herds fed and watered in the inhospitable environment with some of the land becoming unavailable due to privatization. Our model develops realistic population and conflict dynamics. With only basic behaviors, herders come into conflict with other herders and farmers over the limited resources. However, the introduction of farmers did not have severe effects on the herder carrying capacity and, when farmers are included in the overall carrying capacity, adding farmers actually increased the capacity by almost a factor of two. The introduction of farmers appears to have provided a separation between the two modeled herder clans reducing the trend toward hegemony seen without farmers.

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تاریخ انتشار 2010